In January, ARC issued a press release indicating that it will release its full year 2011 results on Feb 21st. On January 19th, we posted an announcement about a contest to “guess ARC’s full-year 2011 Sales Revenues.”
The table, below, shows you what “analysts” are estimating ARC’s full-year 2011 Sales will be (as per yahoo finance, Feb 9 2012)
| Revenue Estimates | Current Qtr. | Next Qtr. | Current Year | Next Year |
| NYSE: ARC | 11-Dec | 12-Mar | 11-Dec | 12-Dec |
| Avg. Estimate | 100.00M | 107.22M | 420.92M | 427.97M |
| No. of Analysts | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Low Estimate | 98.52M | 107.22M | 419.41M | 423.04M |
| High Estimate | 101.00M | 107.22M | 422.00M | 435.00M |
| Year Ago Sales | 104.97M | 106.50M | 441.64M | 420.92M |
| Sales Growth (year/est) | -4.70% | 0.70% | -4.70% | 1.70% |
Deadline for entries was February 7th at 5:00 pm. Per my blog’s Google Analytics statistics, 136 blog-visitors read the contest announcement, but only 5 people submitted guesses for the contest.
Here are the “guesses” we received.
| $464.88 |
| $437.00 |
| $421.50 |
| $421.00 |
| $420.93 |
One of the entries - $421.00 - is, quite obviously, “boxed in” on the top and bottom. As a special consideration for that contest entry, if person who guessed $421.00 wins the contest, the prize will be doubled.
We will only announce the winner of the contest if the winner gives us permission to post his/her name.
In the table above, I included the column that shows analysts’ current estimates of ARC’s full-year 2012 Sales – I think their estimates are low.