My favorite
blog for economics information is the CalculatedRisk Blog. One of the indexes (or, if you prefer,
indices) the CR Blog reports on each month is the AIA ABI Index. Today, the CR Blog had an article that
contained a very interesting table. See
below.
Although
Reprographers in major metropolitan markets have, historically speaking,
generated most of their reprographics services revenues from printing plans and
specifications for “non-residential” projects (with an exception being that
apartment and condo projects are not non-res projects but are an important
source of plan and spec printing revenues), reprographics services revenues
from “res” projects were an important source of revenues for our industry. When you take a look at the chart below,
you’ll notice that housing starts in 2015 are estimated to be double the low
point we reached in 2009, but note also that housing starts in 2015 are still
WELL BELOW where they were at their peak in 2005. Our civil-site-survey engineering and land
planning customers (many of whom derived a significant portion of their
revenues from home building developers) were the first category of customers to
feel the slow down that began in 2006 …. and, by the end of 2007, revenues from
that category of customers was giving most of us a clear “heads-up” as to what
was going to happen in 2008/2009. Although
non-res project strength has increased over the past three years – generating
improved revenues for Reprographers (but, certainly not what those revenues
were in past years), we still see revenues “are off”, and one of those reasons
(not to mention “digitization”) has to do with the “res” market still being
well off what it was, in spite of the fact that the “res” business has doubled
since its low in 2009.
Source of this table:
CalculatedRisk Blog
Housing Starts and New Home Sales
(000s)
|
||||
|
Housing
Starts
|
Change
|
New Home
Sales
|
Change
|
2005
|
2068
|
---
|
1,283
|
---
|
2006
|
1801
|
-12.9%
|
1,051
|
-18.1%
|
2007
|
1355
|
-24.8%
|
776
|
-26.2%
|
2008
|
906
|
-33.2%
|
485
|
-37.5%
|
2009
|
554
|
-38.8%
|
375
|
-22.7%
|
2010
|
587
|
5.9%
|
323
|
-13.9%
|
2011
|
609
|
3.7%
|
306
|
-5.3%
|
2012
|
781
|
28.2%
|
368
|
20.3%
|
2013
|
925
|
18.5%
|
429
|
16.6%
|
2014
|
1003
|
8.5%
|
437
|
1.9%
|
20151
|
1110
|
10.6%
|
498
|
14.0%
|
12015 estimated
|
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