Well, there has to be an end to everything, and,
so, this is the end of the line for the Reprographics 101 Repro PPoP Index.
What we’ve been saying all along about this
Index:
- This index does not
attempt to track "total sales" of A/E/C reprographers. It attempts to
track only sales of "plans printed on paper”.
- And, by "plans
printed on paper", I mean A/E/C "plans", large-format, b/w
and color, unbound or bound, full-size, half-size, whatever large-format size.
If you click on the link that’s immediately
below, you’ll find our final “report”:
Blog Publisher’s comments:
The first think I’d like to mention is a
clarification of sorts. The index readings in the reports
we’ve been issuing were not readings based just on prints produced at
reprographer-production centers, but were readings based on large-format
plan-printing wherever it took place.
In other words, at reprographer-operated production centers and at
reprographer-operated OnSite (FM) locations.
I.E., the “totality” of large-format plan printing.
Observations. Based solely on my own personal
analysis of the Index readings (the numbers) we’ve reported over the past few
years and the more recent index readings (the numbers) we’ve reported – it does
not take a rocket science degree to understand that the bottom, literally,
dropped out of the A/E/C plan printing business. That happened sometime during 2009 for some
and during 2010 for others. My SWAG (silly-wild-ass-guess) is that on an
overall reprographics industry basis, revenues bottomed-out in 2010 (and,
leading into 2010, 2009 was also an awful year for most), and that 2011 was
another awful year. In short, 2009, 2010
and 2011 are years that reprographers would never, ever like to see
repeated. 2012 brought a slight uptick
in activity, followed by fairly decent uptick in 2013. The more recent “up-readings” in the index do
not necessarily mean that reprographers are busier in their production
centers. More and more large-format
plan-printing volume is finding its way to OnSite (FM) sites. There are a lot more reprographers offering
OnSite services today than ever before [in spite of the fact that many of those
now offering OnSite (FM) services don’t have a good understanding as to how
promote, sell, cost, price, and operate that business.] I’m positive that every reprographer knows
that the volume of printing – on a per-project basis – has declined from what
it used to be and that that particular decline was not caused by the recession,
but by the “further digitization” of the industry. The trend on the A/E/C side is to find ways
to print less, and they (A/E/C customers) are doing that by distributing files
rather than ordering and distributing hard-copy prints. (Well, that said, they are still printing,
but not as much as used to be the case.)
That trend will continue, much to the dismay of reprographers. The A/E/C Industry was healthier in 2013 than
in 2012, and, based on how things are going, it does appear that 2014 will be
even a healthier year. Similarly, and
for reasons that are obvious to most reprographers, I fully expect that 2014
will be a better year for most reprographers than 2013 was. But, the growth in revenues from printing
plans on paper, 2014 vs. 2013, will not be directly proportionate to the growth
of the A/E/C Industry.
To my reprographer
friends – continue your efforts to diversify your revenues. I do expect that 2014 will bring increased
revenues from plan-printing services, but, given continuing digitization
efforts going on in the A/E/C Industry, you can’t bank on that happening in a
meaningful way.
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